tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post916703094958296596..comments2024-02-06T08:33:52.695+02:00Comments on Eeben Barlow's Military and Security Blog: FUTURE CONFLICTS AND WARS IN AFRICAEeben Barlow's Milsec Bloghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/08942119485068301545noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post-58924267605940584262018-08-19T14:58:38.029+02:002018-08-19T14:58:38.029+02:00Environmental change can have massive implications...Environmental change can have massive implications Aseni - and I believe we are already seeing some of those implications. The points you raise are, in my opinion, spot on.<br />Rgds,<br />EebenEeben Barlow's Milsec Bloghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08942119485068301545noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post-55664281831224491662017-10-16T05:32:46.507+02:002017-10-16T05:32:46.507+02:00How might environmental change lead to conflict? S...How might environmental change lead to conflict? Some experts propose that environmental change may shift the balance of power between states either regionally or globally, producing instabilities that could lead to war or as global environmental damage increases the disparity between people. Poor nations may militarily confront or struggle the rich for a greater share of the world's wealth. Warmer temperatures could lead to contention over new ice-free sea-lanes in the Arctic or more accessible resources in the Antarctic. Population growth and land stress may produce such environmental refugees. This may cause recipient's domestic and international stability. Countries may fight over dwindling supplies of water and the effects of upstream pollution” Environmental change as a source of conflict” http://bit.ly/2gIQVuTAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11540233210056336205noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post-36240612581939762442014-04-03T02:47:10.011+02:002014-04-03T02:47:10.011+02:00Anyone in this forum happen to be in Somalia in th...Anyone in this forum happen to be in Somalia in the early 90s?Ttroubadour265https://www.blogger.com/profile/16974417752729097736noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post-78187000588072597222014-01-08T18:23:03.041+02:002014-01-08T18:23:03.041+02:00Good to hear from you again GCU.
I have heard of ...Good to hear from you again GCU.<br /><br />I have heard of Sam Childers but I have never met him. <br /><br />From what I understand he too was someone who tried to do something other than talk but I also never saw the film. However, Hollywood’s depictions of “real life events” are, in my opinion, usually very far from it. If anything, I suspect Sam may have harboured some feelings about his role.<br /><br />Rgds,<br /><br />Eeben<br />Eeben Barlow's Milsec Bloghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08942119485068301545noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post-87151752666186695522013-12-30T00:11:32.863+02:002013-12-30T00:11:32.863+02:00Dear Eeben:
Speaking of the population getting c...Dear Eeben:<br /><br /> Speaking of the population getting caught in the middle in this post, I was wondering if you can tell us anything about a guy named Sam Childers who has been trying in some very unconventional ways to alleviate the suffering of kids in Southern Sudan. I am writing to ask because a movie has been released in my country called Machine Gun Preacher. Gerard Butler plays Childers and the movie claims to be based on a true story. I think Carl Alberts mentioned this guy when I was in Malagas last year. Is there any truth to the movie or does it grossly blow Childers's actions out of proportion? I kind of expect Hollywood to do this. What, if anything, have you heard about Childers?<br /><br />Good to be back with the blog, graycladunits graycladunitshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10299674299301793842noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post-85356691361372209142013-12-17T10:14:54.768+02:002013-12-17T10:14:54.768+02:00Africa has been and still is the target of numerou...Africa has been and still is the target of numerous threats Matt and it will get a lot worse before it gets any better. However, a lot of these threats masquerade under the guise of “democracy” when in fact they are anything but. However, there seems to be a desire to promote conflict on the continent and with the escalation of social media, this complicates matters for governments. Let us also not forget the role foreign interests are playing in fuelling tensions as well as supporting both sides of the conflicts or, as in the case of Syria actually supporting anti-government forces with a very definite anti-West sentiment. <br /><br />The vanguard for many of these threats is crime and from there it escalates into bigger problems. This can be traced back to inadequate law enforcement. Again, this is where actionable intelligence is sadly lacking. Couple that to very poor advice and you have a disaster in the making. <br /><br />These groups and threats do not follow a dogmatic doctrine as western armies do. Unlike many standing armies, they learn from their mistakes. This hands them the initiative on a golden plate. Rigid, inflexible TTPs continually place the armed forces in a state of permanent reaction as opposed to proaction. <br /><br />Knowing we lack intelligence and are slow to react, they can do infiltration attacks, pseudo operations, conduct terror campaigns etc and when we react, it is usually a kneejerk reaction with massive collateral damage. For many reasons, this suits their agendas. <br /><br />Until such time as African armies take a long hard look at their organisations, training and equipment along with the numerous current weaknesses they have, they will be unable to identify, locate and counter the threats they face. But, for the armies to do that effectively, governments need to reassess how they govern and develop coherent national and national security strategies. <br /><br />Rgds,<br /><br />Eeben<br />Eeben Barlow's Milsec Bloghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08942119485068301545noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post-58024958849610789512013-12-17T08:52:07.383+02:002013-12-17T08:52:07.383+02:00This comment has been removed by the author.Feral Jundihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16448933885952005675noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-955273524757178757.post-42263985684288522292013-12-17T08:43:51.303+02:002013-12-17T08:43:51.303+02:00Excellent post Eeben and happy holidays to you and...Excellent post Eeben and happy holidays to you and your family and readership!<br /><br />One area of concern for me when it comes to Africa, is the spread of jihadists. That, and how organized they are getting. The whole Mali thing, or the Westgate Mall shooting in Kenya, the Il Amenas attack in Algeria, or all the attacks Boko Haram have done in Nigeria. Their latest attack in Maiduguri was astonishing. A prime example of attacking weakness with strength. <br />So definitely, countries need to pay close attention to what works when defending against such threats or how to prepare. <br />Cheers. Feral Jundihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16448933885952005675noreply@blogger.com